Ultimate Texas Holdem Reddit

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If imitation is the highest form of flattery, there is little doubt the two most successful games in the table games industry are Three Card Poker and Ultimate Texas Hold’em.

A discussion of which one is better, however, is a bit like trying to decide who would win in a fight, Superman or Batman?

Three Card Poker has more tables and has made more lifetime revenue (I believe). But, it was also created earlier in table game history, when there was far less competition. By the time UTH came along, not only were there several successful table games, but there was already a successful Texas Hold’em table (Texas Hold’em Bonus Poker).

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But the question posed was not which one was more successful, but which is better? This is, of course, highly subjective. But if anyone is asking for my vote, it is Ultimate that would win the fight at this point.

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Many inventors have tried to copy aspects of both games. Three Card Poker has a simplistic betting structure. You make an initial wager, you see your whole hand, you make another wager or Fold. Copying this is probably not the flattery part. That comes in when inventors try to mimic the Fold, Play and qualifying probabilities. Not just in the ballpark, but right down to the nearest percent.

This is what makes Three Card Poker so successful. You fold about 30% of the time and the dealer qualifies about 30% of the time. That must be the winning combination! The games that followed it showed this was not what made TCP so successful. I think what made TCP successful was its simplicity at a time when simplicity was in demand.

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Ultimate Texas Hold’em has way more moving parts than Three Card Poker. You still make an initial wager, but it is actually two initial wagers (Ante/Blind). You still have dealer qualifying. But, the wagering system is completely different. You get a part of your hand and can wager 4x or check. Or you can wait to get more of your hand and wager 2x or check. Or you can see your entire hand and wager 1x or Fold. In some regards, UTH still copied Three Card Poker. In theory, you could never bet 4x or 2x and just wait until you have your entire hand and make a 1x or Fold decision just like Three Card Poker.

The difference is UTH has that blind wager, which is what generates most of the house advantage. If you just sit and play the 1x/Fold decision, you’ll win the same number of hands but you’ll win far less money than you could by making proper 4x/2x decisions. And this is what puts the word ultimate into Texas Hold’em poker! The number of hands you win or lose changes only with a portion of the strategy (the 1x/Fold decision). The amount you win requires knowledge of the complete strategy.

As the person who developed the math for the game, I’m about to give you one of the top secrets of the game. The strategy for the 1x/Fold decision is messy and complex. Games that share community cards with the dealer always gets messy. You can’t define your hand strictly by the rank of your hand as you need to take into account what part of the hand comes from you!

You could have Trip Aces as a hand, but this might be Three Aces on the board (community cards), while you hold a 2 and a 3 and the other two community cards could be 5 and 6. Your odds of winning this hand are near zero! If, however, the Trip Aces includes an Ace from your 2 cards, your odds of winning the hand go way up!

The strategy for the 2x/Check decision is actually even messier! You have the same problem of community cards, but now you still have two more cards to be drawn! You’ve got partial Straights and Flushes to contend with. It’s not pretty.

Now for the secret. The 4x/Check strategy is by far the easiest of the three. Also, you should be betting 4x about 45% of the time, which means if you follow the strategy, you’ll have to worry about 2x and 1x decisions far less often. I realize it is a tough decision to make as wagering 4x your Ante can be a lot of money. But, if you want to maximize your payback, I strongly suggest you try to adhere to this strategy. Here goes:

• Pair 3’s or Better

• Any Ace

• Suited KX

• Suited QX, where X is a 5 or better

• Suited JX, where X is an 8 or better

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• Unsuited KX, where X is 5 or better

• Unsuited QX, where X is 8 or better

• Unsuited J10

That’s it. Eight strategy points that can be relatively easily memorized.

With any strategy like this, there are some “no brainers” (suited AK, High Pair) and some that are more marginal. If you’re going to play a bit timid, at least keep it to the more marginal hands. But this will also require learning the 2x Strategy (which is very complex) as you’ll need to know when your hand has improved enough to make the 2X wager. You don’t want to give away your potential 4x wins to be only 1x wins! I’ll cover this a bit more next week.

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Just a few months ago, I wrote about how I thought Ultimate Texas Hold’em has the perfect betting structure. This past Saturday night, I had an opportunity to see this in action.

My wife and I attended the new variety show at Wynn called Showstoppers. I definitely recommend it, but would suggest looking for discount tickets!

After the show, we stopped to watch an Ultimate Texas Hold’em table game in action. It was a $15 table, which is not for the faint of heart. You have to be ready to wager $75-$100 per hand, including the Ante, Blind, Trips and Play wagers.

In one hand, I saw everything that makes this game the blockbuster it is. First there was a player who had a marginal 4x hand. He had a King-8 offsuit. The player will win this hand about 54% of the time and lose about 42.5%.

The player clearly did not have a strong grasp of the game or the rules. After seeing his first two cards, he attempted to make a play wager that was only 1x his Ante. I don’t know how you sit down with hundreds of dollars at risk and have little idea of the strategy and knowledge of the basics of the game!

The dealer told the player he could not bet 1x at this point. He asked the player to show him the cards. Upon seeing the K-8, the dealer said this hand was worth the wager, but only 3x and not 4x!

At this point, I was ready to smack my head against the table (or maybe the dealer’s). There is no hand in UTH that would make you want to bet 3x instead of 4x. Being able to bet 4x is an advantage to the player. By betting only 3x, you’re giving some of this back to the house.

While there are some hands betting 3x is better than waiting for the flop, there are none you are better off betting 3x over 4x. The right play was to bet 4x and this player cost himself some potential payback.

Lesson No. 1:Don’t listen to the Dealers.

I’m sure many are knowledgeable at some basic games like Blackjack or games that have simple strategy like Three Card Poker. But why would you think the dealer knows the strategy for UTH?

I developed the only known strategy for the game. I haven’t had a chance to yet complete my booklet, so the likelihood the dealer really knows the right strategy is very slim.

Lesson No. 2:Know the rules of the game you are playing.

I didn’t notice if the table had instruction cards for the game, but here in Las Vegas, the tables frequently do. Read them before you play.

The story doesn’t end there. From what I’ve told you so far, it would explain why the game holds so much for the casino, but it doesn’t necessarily explain why the game is so popular despite holding so well for the casino. We have to move to our second player for that. He had an even stronger hand. A-10 offsuit.

Again, not a massive hand, but this one will win 59% of the time vs. losing 38%. I watched as he chose not to make a 4x wager at all. I guess only a pair of bullets will do. The flop came – J-5-3. No real help.

He decided to make a 2x wager shaking his head, as if he wasn’t too happy about doing it. He had the top card. There was little chance of a Straight or Flush on the board. The hand still wasn’t great, but not bad.

Along comes the turn and the river. The 5 paired up and an 8. He shook his head further. I didn’t understand why. Sure, he didn’t pull an Ace or a 10, but still had the top kicker. The dealer had now automatically qualified because the board had a pair. Realistically, there were 11 outs for the dealer, who would need a J, 8, 5 or 3 to beat the player.

On a very rough calculation we can go with 11 outs times 2 Dealer Cards, which gives us 22 out of 45 remaining. The player was in a 50/50 position at this point, if we allow for pocket pairs. Again, not exactly where you want to be, but you could be doing a lot worse.

I don’t remember the exact cards the dealer had, but I do know he didn’t have a J, 8, 5 or 3 or a pocket pair. The player won $15 for the Ante and $30 on the Play. The Blind pushed. He won $45. He was as happy as can be!

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At that very moment, my thoughts on UTH’s betting structure were completely confirmed. The player made a wrong decision and cost himself money. He should have had $75, but won only $45. He was happy as a clam.

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A few months ago, I likened this to a player playing blackjack who doesn’t double down when he should and is still happy he wins the hand for $10 instead of $20. The only difference is in blackjack an opportunity to double down occurs about 5-10% of the time.

In UTH, the opportunity to bet 4x occurs around 50% of the time.

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This means if you chicken out of all but the top hands, you’ll be doing the wrong thing 25-40% of the time. This is going to cost you big bucks over time.

The ultimate irony is that you’ll probably be as happy as can be while doing it!

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Elliot Frome is a second generation gaming analyst and author. His math credits include Ultimate Texas Hold’em, Mississippi Stud, House Money and many other games. His website is www.gambatria.com. Contact Elliot at [email protected].

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